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Ykkönen · Finland
TPV vs KPV-j prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
TPV host KPV-j in the Ykkönen (Finland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is TPV Win — TPV to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: TPV 4–0 KPV-j.
Going into the match, TPV had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 23. KPV-j had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of TPV's last 10 and 6 of KPV-j's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home TPV averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home KPV-j averaged 1.00 scored and 3.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.79 goals from TPV and 1.10 from KPV-j. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 12%, against 60%, 20% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between TPV (green) and KPV-j (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · KPV-j 1–3 TPV
- 11 Apr 2026 · TPV 0–0 KPV-j
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| TPV Win | 59% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| TPV HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.