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Kakkonen - Lohko C · Finland
TP-47 vs Vaajakoski prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
TP-47 host Vaajakoski in the Kakkonen - Lohko C (Finland) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — TP-47 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: TP-47 5–0 Vaajakoski.
Going into the match, TP-47 had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Vaajakoski had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of TP-47's last 10 and 6 of Vaajakoski's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home TP-47 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vaajakoski averaged 1.36 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from TP-47 and 1.42 from Vaajakoski. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%, against 44%, 22% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between TP-47 (green) and Vaajakoski (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP-47 | LWLWW | 1.00 | 2.00 | 30% | 60% |
| Vaajakoski | DLLWL | 1.40 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Sep 2026 · Vaajakoski 0–1 TP-47
- 22 Aug 2026 · TP-47 4–2 Vaajakoski
- 14 Jun 2026 · Vaajakoski 3–2 TP-47
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| TP-47 Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| TP-47 HT & FT | 29% | 3.25 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.