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Toulouse vs PAU prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Toulouse host PAU in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Toulouse to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Toulouse had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. PAU had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Toulouse's last 10 and 3 of PAU's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toulouse averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home PAU averaged 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Toulouse and 1.13 from PAU. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Toulouse (green) and PAU (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack44% – 56%
Defence71% – 29%
Head-to-head64% – 36%
Goals55% – 45%
Overall strength60% – 39%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ToulouseWDLDL1.501.5080%70%
PAUWLDDL0.701.6030%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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