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Premier League · England
Tottenham vs Coventry prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tottenham host Coventry in the Premier League (England) on 19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tottenham 3–1 Coventry.
Going into the match, Tottenham had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Coventry had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tottenham's last 10 and 4 of Coventry's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tottenham averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Coventry averaged 1.43 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Tottenham and 1.03 from Coventry. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 23%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tottenham (green) and Coventry (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Tottenham Win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.