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FA WSL · England

Tottenham Hotspur W vs London City Lionesses W prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.25Market probability 75%Final score 1–6

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur W host London City Lionesses W in the FA WSL (England) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tottenham Hotspur W 1–6 London City Lionesses W.

Going into the match, Tottenham Hotspur W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 4. London City Lionesses W had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Tottenham Hotspur W's last 9 and 6 of London City Lionesses W's last 9; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tottenham Hotspur W averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home London City Lionesses W averaged 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Tottenham Hotspur W and 2.37 from London City Lionesses W. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 53%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tottenham Hotspur W (green) and London City Lionesses W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%
Attack63% – 38%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals70% – 30%
Overall strength69% – 31%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Tottenham Hotspur WWWDWD2.220.4444%56%
London City Lionesses WWWWWL2.220.8967%67%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1272%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals71%1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals66%1.40
BTTS Yes56%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals51%1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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