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Tottenham Hotspur W vs Arsenal W prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur W host Arsenal W in the FA WSL (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tottenham Hotspur W 1–2 Arsenal W.

Going into the match, Tottenham Hotspur W had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 16. Arsenal W had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Tottenham Hotspur W's last 10 and 5 of Arsenal W's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tottenham Hotspur W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Arsenal W averaged 1.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Tottenham Hotspur W and 1.62 from Arsenal W. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 45%, against 19%, 21% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tottenham Hotspur W (green) and Arsenal W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form70% – 30%
Attack79% – 21%
Defence35% – 65%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals13% – 88%
Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Tottenham Hotspur WLLWWD2.301.6060%70%
Arsenal WDLDLW1.201.0050%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No75%1.25
Over 2.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes61%1.53
Arsenal W Win60%1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
Under 3.5 Goals55%1.67
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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