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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Torres vs Atalanta II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torres host Atalanta II in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Torres 2–1 Atalanta II.
Going into the match, Torres had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Atalanta II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Torres's last 10 and 6 of Atalanta II's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torres averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Atalanta II averaged 1.29 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Torres and 1.19 from Atalanta II. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torres (green) and Atalanta II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torres | DDDWW | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
| Atalanta II | LWWLW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.