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Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Spain

Torrent vs Hércules II prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.67Market probability 55%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Torrent host Hércules II in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (Spain) on 9 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Torrent 0–1 Hércules II.

Going into the match, Torrent had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Hércules II had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Torrent's last 10 and 5 of Hércules II's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torrent averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Hércules II averaged 1.00 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Torrent and 1.00 from Hércules II. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Torrent (green) and Hércules II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals82% – 18%
Overall strength63% – 37%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
TorrentWLDWL1.501.3070%70%
Hércules IIWWWDL1.201.7050%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.34
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals65%1.41
Under 2.5 Goals55%1.67
Torrent Win52%1.67
BTTS No52%1.78
Torrent HT & FT36%2.60
Draw27%3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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