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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Torreense U23 vs Estoril U23 prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torreense U23 host Estoril U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 5 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Torreense U23 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Torreense U23 2–3 Estoril U23.
Going into the match, Torreense U23 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Estoril U23 had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Torreense U23's last 9 and 8 of Estoril U23's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torreense U23 averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Estoril U23 averaged 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Torreense U23 and 2.21 from Estoril U23. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 55%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torreense U23 (green) and Estoril U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense U23 | LWDDD | 1.33 | 1.56 | 67% | 56% |
| Estoril U23 | DWDWD | 1.89 | 1.44 | 89% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Torreense U23 Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Torreense U23 HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.