Torpedo Zhodino vs Naftan prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Torpedo Zhodino WinOdds 1.57Market probability 61%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Torpedo Zhodino host Naftan in the Premier League (Belarus) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Torpedo Zhodino Win — Torpedo Zhodino to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Torpedo Zhodino 1–0 Naftan.

Going into the match, Torpedo Zhodino had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Naftan had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Torpedo Zhodino's last 10 and 4 of Naftan's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torpedo Zhodino averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Naftan averaged 1.25 scored and 3.08 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Torpedo Zhodino and 1.04 from Naftan. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Torpedo Zhodino (green) and Naftan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form30% – 70%

Attack20% – 80%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head93% – 7%

Goals78% – 22%

Overall strength57% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Torpedo Zhodino	LWLLL	0.70	2.00	30%	50%
Naftan	WWDLL	1.40	2.40	40%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

29 May 2026 · Naftan 0–4 Torpedo Zhodino

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.41
Torpedo Zhodino Win	60%	1.57
BTTS No	51%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.87
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	1.92
Torpedo Zhodino HT & FT	42%	2.23

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.