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First League · Russia
Torpedo Moskva vs Rotor Volgograd prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torpedo Moskva host Rotor Volgograd in the First League (Russia) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Torpedo Moskva had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Rotor Volgograd had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Torpedo Moskva's last 10 and 4 of Rotor Volgograd's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torpedo Moskva averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rotor Volgograd averaged 1.25 scored and 1.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Torpedo Moskva and 0.75 from Rotor Volgograd. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 14%, against 50%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torpedo Moskva (green) and Rotor Volgograd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Moskva | WWWDD | 1.80 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Rotor Volgograd | LDWWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.74 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.76 |
| Torpedo Moskva Win | 49% | 1.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.