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Serie A · Italy
Torino vs Udinese prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torino host Udinese in the Serie A (Italy) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Torino 2–1 Udinese.
Going into the match, Torino had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Udinese had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Torino's last 10 and 6 of Udinese's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torino averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Udinese averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Torino and 1.04 from Udinese. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 32%, against 40%, 31% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torino (green) and Udinese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Udinese 2–0 Torino
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.