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FA Cup · England
Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tonbridge Angels host Torquay in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tonbridge Angels 0–1 Torquay.
Going into the match, Tonbridge Angels had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Torquay had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tonbridge Angels's last 10 and 5 of Torquay's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tonbridge Angels averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Torquay averaged 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Tonbridge Angels and 1.34 from Torquay. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 32%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tonbridge Angels (green) and Torquay (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | LWDLW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
| Torquay | LWDWW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Aug 2026 · Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay
- 25 Apr 2026 · Tonbridge Angels 1–2 Torquay
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Torquay Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.