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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Toluca W vs Santos Laguna W prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Toluca W host Santos Laguna W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 20 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Toluca W 0–0 Santos Laguna W.
Going into the match, Toluca W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 16. Santos Laguna W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Toluca W's last 10 and 5 of Santos Laguna W's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toluca W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Santos Laguna W averaged 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.43 goals from Toluca W and 1.11 from Santos Laguna W. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 15%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Toluca W (green) and Santos Laguna W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca W | WWLWL | 2.50 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Santos Laguna W | WLWWL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Toluca W Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| Toluca W 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Toluca W HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.74 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX Femenil matches that day
- León W vs Atlante W · 20 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–0