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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Toluca U21 vs Club Tijuana U21 prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Toluca U21 host Club Tijuana U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 21 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Toluca U21 5–0 Club Tijuana U21.
Going into the match, Toluca U21 had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 7. Club Tijuana U21 had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Toluca U21's last 10 and 6 of Club Tijuana U21's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toluca U21 averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Club Tijuana U21 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.37 goals from Toluca U21 and 0.79 from Club Tijuana U21. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 10%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Toluca U21 (green) and Club Tijuana U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca U21 | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Club Tijuana U21 | LDLWD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Toluca U21 Win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.