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Liga MX U21 · Mexico

Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XNo priceFinal score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Toluca U21 host Atl. San Luis U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Toluca U21 to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Toluca U21 4–1 Atl. San Luis U21.

Going into the match, Toluca U21 had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Atl. San Luis U21 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Toluca U21's last 10 and 7 of Atl. San Luis U21's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toluca U21 averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Atl. San Luis U21 averaged 1.50 scored and 2.17 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 3.38 goals from Toluca U21 and 0.98 from Atl. San Luis U21. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 7%. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Toluca U21 (green) and Atl. San Luis U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack48% – 52%
Defence73% – 27%
Head-to-head100% – 0%
Goals80% – 20%
Overall strength68% – 32%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Toluca U21WWWWW1.800.8060%50%
Atl. San Luis U21DDWLL1.401.8070%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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