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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain
Toledo vs Huracán Balazote prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Toledo host Huracán Balazote in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Toledo Win — Toledo to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Toledo 3–1 Huracán Balazote.
Going into the match, Toledo had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Huracán Balazote had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Toledo's last 10 and 4 of Huracán Balazote's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Toledo averaged 1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Huracán Balazote averaged 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.91 goals from Toledo and 0.67 from Huracán Balazote. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 5%, against 72%, 18% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Toledo (green) and Huracán Balazote (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | WWLDW | 1.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| Huracán Balazote | LLLLL | 0.70 | 2.20 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo Win | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| Toledo 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Toledo HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| 2-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.