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J2 League · Japan
Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tokushima Vortis host Imabari in the J2 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tokushima Vortis 1–2 Imabari.
Going into the match, Tokushima Vortis had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Imabari had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Tokushima Vortis's last 10 and 6 of Imabari's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tokushima Vortis averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Imabari averaged 0.93 scored and 1.57 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Tokushima Vortis and 1.24 from Imabari. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tokushima Vortis (green) and Imabari (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokushima Vortis | LWLWL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 30% | 60% |
| Imabari | WLLLW | 1.10 | 2.00 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Tokushima Vortis 1–1 Imabari
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.