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Regionalliga - Nord · Germany
Todesfelde vs Weiche Flensburg prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Todesfelde host Weiche Flensburg in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Weiche Flensburg Win — Weiche Flensburg to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Todesfelde 0–4 Weiche Flensburg.
Going into the match, Todesfelde had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 31. Weiche Flensburg had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Todesfelde's last 10 and 7 of Weiche Flensburg's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Todesfelde averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Weiche Flensburg averaged 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Todesfelde and 3.19 from Weiche Flensburg. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 75%, against 17%, 16% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Todesfelde (green) and Weiche Flensburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todesfelde | WLLLL | 1.20 | 3.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Weiche Flensburg | WWLLW | 3.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Weiche Flensburg Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.39 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Weiche Flensburg 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.