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J2 League · Japan
Tochigi City vs Imabari prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tochigi City host Imabari in the J2 League (Japan) on 3 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tochigi City 1–2 Imabari.
Going into the match, Tochigi City had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. Imabari had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tochigi City's last 10 and 6 of Imabari's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tochigi City averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Imabari averaged 0.85 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Tochigi City and 1.15 from Imabari. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 50%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tochigi City (green) and Imabari (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi City | LLLLD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Imabari | LLLWD | 1.10 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Tochigi City Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.