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NB II · Hungary
Tiszakecske FC vs Ajka prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tiszakecske FC host Ajka in the NB II (Hungary) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tiszakecske FC 4–3 Ajka.
Going into the match, Tiszakecske FC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 17. Ajka had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Tiszakecske FC's last 10 and 5 of Ajka's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tiszakecske FC averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Ajka averaged 0.89 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.59 goals from Tiszakecske FC and 1.31 from Ajka. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 17%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiszakecske FC | DLWWW | 2.10 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
| Ajka | LWDLW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Ajka 1–4 Tiszakecske FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.80 |
| Tiszakecske FC Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Tiszakecske FC HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.