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Liga Alef · Israel
Tira vs Ironi Nesher prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tira host Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 8 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ironi Nesher Win — Ironi Nesher to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tira 2–1 Ironi Nesher.
Going into the match, Tira had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Ironi Nesher had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, with 18 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Tira's last 5 and 4 of Ironi Nesher's last 5; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tira averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Ironi Nesher averaged 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Tira and 1.69 from Ironi Nesher. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 46%, against 23%, 22% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tira (green) and Ironi Nesher (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tira | WDDWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| Ironi Nesher | WDWWW | 3.60 | 0.80 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.41 |
| Ironi Nesher Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Ironi Nesher HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 0-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.