Tira vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.65Market probability 57%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tira host Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel in the Liga Alef (Israel) on 22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tira 2–0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.

Going into the match, Tira had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 8 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Tira's last 8 and 2 of Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's last 6; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tira averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel averaged 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.44 goals from Tira and 0.62 from Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 7%, against 67%, 19% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tira (green) and Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form92% – 8%

Attack89% – 11%

Defence71% – 29%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals0% – 100%

Overall strength70% – 29%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Tira	WWWWD	2.00	0.88	63%	50%
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	LLLLW	0.83	2.33	33%	67%

Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.24
Tira Win	68%	1.33
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	57%	1.65
BTTS No	51%	1.80
Tira HT & FT	49%	1.91
3-0	11%	8.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.