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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Tijuana W vs Pumas UNAM W prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tijuana W host Pumas UNAM W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 24 Oct 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tijuana W had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 23. Pumas UNAM W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tijuana W's last 10 and 5 of Pumas UNAM W's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tijuana W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Pumas UNAM W averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Tijuana W and 1.66 from Pumas UNAM W. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 42%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tijuana W (green) and Pumas UNAM W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijuana W | DWLLL | 1.30 | 2.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Pumas UNAM W | WLDWL | 1.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.