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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tijuana W host Cruz Azul W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tijuana W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 22. Cruz Azul W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tijuana W's last 10 and 3 of Cruz Azul W's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tijuana W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cruz Azul W averaged 0.57 scored and 2.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Tijuana W and 1.34 from Cruz Azul W. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 30%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijuana W | DDWLL | 1.30 | 2.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Cruz Azul W | LLWLL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX Femenil matches that day
- Necaxa W vs Santos Laguna W · 1 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Santos Laguna W Win @ 1.25 - Querétaro W vs Pachuca W · 1 Nov 2026, 01:06 UTC · Liga MX Femenil
Published pick: Pachuca W Win @ 1.27