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Primera B · Colombia
Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tigres FC host Internacional Palmira in the Primera B (Colombia) on 4 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tigres FC 1–0 Internacional Palmira.
Going into the match, Tigres FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Internacional Palmira had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Tigres FC's last 10 and 4 of Internacional Palmira's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tigres FC averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Internacional Palmira averaged 0.78 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Tigres FC and 0.51 from Internacional Palmira. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 18%, against 35%, 30% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tigres FC (green) and Internacional Palmira (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | DWDWL | 1.20 | 0.50 | 20% | 30% |
| Internacional Palmira | WWWLL | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 May 2026 · Internacional Palmira 2–2 Tigres FC
- 25 Apr 2026 · Tigres FC 1–0 Internacional Palmira
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.64 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Tigres FC Win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| 0-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.