Tigres de Alica vs Tapachula prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Tigres de Alica WinOdds 1.20Market probability 81%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tigres de Alica host Tapachula in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 31 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Tigres de Alica Win — Tigres de Alica to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 81% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Tigres de Alica had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Tapachula had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 22 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Tigres de Alica's last 10 and 5 of Tapachula's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tigres de Alica averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Tapachula averaged 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.65 goals from Tigres de Alica and 0.84 from Tapachula. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 9%, against 75%, 14% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tigres de Alica (green) and Tapachula (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form70% – 30%

Attack54% – 46%

Defence74% – 26%

Overall strength72% – 27%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Tigres de Alica	LWLWD	1.60	1.10	70%	60%
Tapachula	WLLLL	0.90	2.20	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Tigres de Alica Win	82%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
Over 2.5 Goals	67%	1.44
Tigres de Alica 1st Half Win	58%	1.53
Tigres de Alica HT & FT	56%	1.67
BTTS No	52%	1.79
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	52%	1.76
2nd Half Higher Goals	49%	1.89

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.