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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Tigre vs Banfield prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tigre host Banfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tigre 1–2 Banfield.
Going into the match, Tigre had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Banfield had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tigre's last 10 and 8 of Banfield's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tigre averaged 0.82 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Banfield averaged 0.90 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Tigre and 0.93 from Banfield. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 24%, against 54%, 29% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tigre (green) and Banfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Tigre Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.