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Ligue 2 · Algeria
Tiaret vs ASM Oran prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tiaret host ASM Oran in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tiaret 0–1 ASM Oran.
Going into the match, Tiaret had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. ASM Oran had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 8, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tiaret's last 8 and 3 of ASM Oran's last 8; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tiaret averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home ASM Oran averaged 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Tiaret and 1.39 from ASM Oran. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 43%, against 47%, 31% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tiaret (green) and ASM Oran (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Tiaret Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| Tiaret HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.