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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Thor Akureyri host IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Thor Akureyri 1–0 IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
Going into the match, Thor Akureyri had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. IBV Vestmannaeyjar had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Thor Akureyri's last 10 and 6 of IBV Vestmannaeyjar's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Thor Akureyri averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home IBV Vestmannaeyjar averaged 1.25 scored and 2.17 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Thor Akureyri and 1.38 from IBV Vestmannaeyjar. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Thor Akureyri (green) and IBV Vestmannaeyjar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thor Akureyri | LLWWL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | DLDLL | 0.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0–1 Thor Akureyri
- 14 Jun 2026 · Thor Akureyri 1–4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.