Home › League stats › 2. Division › Thisted FC vs Roskilde
2. Division · Denmark
Thisted FC vs Roskilde prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Thisted FC host Roskilde in the 2. Division (Denmark) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Thisted FC 0–2 Roskilde.
Going into the match, Thisted FC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Roskilde had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Thisted FC's last 10 and 8 of Roskilde's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Thisted FC averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Roskilde averaged 1.93 scored and 1.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Thisted FC and 2.06 from Roskilde. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 58%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Thisted FC (green) and Roskilde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | LWLLL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Roskilde | DWDWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 80% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 May 2026 · Thisted FC 1–2 Roskilde
- 25 Apr 2026 · Roskilde 0–1 Thisted FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Roskilde Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.