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J3 League · Japan
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs FC Ryukyu prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Thespakusatsu Gunma host FC Ryukyu in the J3 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Thespakusatsu Gunma 2–1 FC Ryukyu.
Going into the match, Thespakusatsu Gunma had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. FC Ryukyu had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Thespakusatsu Gunma's last 10 and 5 of FC Ryukyu's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Thespakusatsu Gunma averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Ryukyu averaged 0.91 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Thespakusatsu Gunma and 1.53 from FC Ryukyu. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 41%, against 36%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Thespakusatsu Gunma (green) and FC Ryukyu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | LLWLL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
| FC Ryukyu | LDLWW | 1.20 | 1.50 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.35 |
| FC Ryukyu Win | 38% | 2.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.