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MLS Next Pro · USA
The Town vs Tacoma Defiance prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
The Town host Tacoma Defiance in the MLS Next Pro (USA) on 12 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Tacoma Defiance to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: The Town 3–3 Tacoma Defiance.
Going into the match, The Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Tacoma Defiance had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of The Town's last 10 and 7 of Tacoma Defiance's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home The Town averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tacoma Defiance averaged 1.38 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from The Town and 1.43 from Tacoma Defiance. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 26%. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between The Town (green) and Tacoma Defiance (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Town | WWLLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
| Tacoma Defiance | DLWLW | 2.10 | 2.00 | 70% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · The Town 1–2 Tacoma Defiance
- 13 Jul 2026 · The Town 0–1 Tacoma Defiance