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Copa de la División Profesional · Bolivia
The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
The Strongest host Universitario de Vinto in the Copa de la División Profesional (Bolivia) on 3 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is The Strongest Win — The Strongest to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: The Strongest 5–2 Universitario de Vinto.
Going into the match, The Strongest had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 13. Universitario de Vinto had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of The Strongest's last 10 and 7 of Universitario de Vinto's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home The Strongest averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Universitario de Vinto averaged 1.00 scored and 2.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.28 goals from The Strongest and 0.90 from Universitario de Vinto. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 6%, against 70%, 19% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between The Strongest (green) and Universitario de Vinto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | DWDWW | 2.50 | 1.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Universitario de Vinto | WWLDW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Sep 2026 · Universitario de Vinto 1–2 The Strongest
- 22 Aug 2026 · The Strongest 4–3 Universitario de Vinto
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.26 |
| The Strongest Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| The Strongest HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.