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Superliga · Albania
Teuta Durrës vs Skenderbeu Korce prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Teuta Durrës host Skenderbeu Korce in the Superliga (Albania) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Teuta Durrës Win — Teuta Durrës to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Teuta Durrës 2–0 Skenderbeu Korce.
Going into the match, Teuta Durrës had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 4. Skenderbeu Korce had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Teuta Durrës's last 10 and 6 of Skenderbeu Korce's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Teuta Durrës averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Skenderbeu Korce averaged 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Teuta Durrës and 0.39 from Skenderbeu Korce. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 7%, against 60%, 26% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teuta Durrës | WWWWW | 1.70 | 0.40 | 30% | 30% |
| Skenderbeu Korce | WDDLL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Teuta Durrës Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Teuta Durrës HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.