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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Terranuova Traiana vs Prato prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Terranuova Traiana host Prato in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Terranuova Traiana 1–1 Prato.
Going into the match, Terranuova Traiana had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Prato had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Terranuova Traiana's last 10 and 6 of Prato's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Terranuova Traiana averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Prato averaged 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Terranuova Traiana and 1.48 from Prato. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 50%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Terranuova Traiana (green) and Prato (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | DLWDW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 70% |
| Prato | DWWDW | 1.40 | 0.70 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Oct 2026 · Terranuova Traiana 1–1 Prato
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.77 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.86 |
| Prato Win | 50% | 1.89 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Prato HT & FT | 33% | 2.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.