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Serie A Women · Italy
Ternana W vs Lazio W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ternana W host Lazio W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ternana W 1–0 Lazio W.
Going into the match, Ternana W had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Lazio W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ternana W's last 9 and 5 of Lazio W's last 9; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ternana W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Lazio W averaged 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Ternana W and 1.34 from Lazio W. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 45%, against 26%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Lazio W 2–0 Ternana W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.