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Serie D - Girone F · Italy
Teramo vs Vigor Senigallia prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Teramo host Vigor Senigallia in the Serie D - Girone F (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Teramo Win — Teramo to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Teramo 6–4 Vigor Senigallia.
Going into the match, Teramo had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Vigor Senigallia had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 20 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Teramo's last 10 and 7 of Vigor Senigallia's last 9; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Teramo averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Vigor Senigallia averaged 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.05 goals from Teramo and 1.87 from Vigor Senigallia. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 22%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Teramo (green) and Vigor Senigallia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teramo | LWWDW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Vigor Senigallia | DWWWW | 2.22 | 1.44 | 78% | 78% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Teramo Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Teramo HT & FT | 38% | 2.43 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.