Home › League stats › Segunda División › Tenerife vs Girona
Segunda División · Spain
Tenerife vs Girona prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tenerife host Girona in the Segunda División (Spain) on 12 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tenerife 1–1 Girona.
Going into the match, Tenerife had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Girona had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tenerife's last 10 and 7 of Girona's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tenerife averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Girona averaged 1.33 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Tenerife and 1.30 from Girona. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tenerife (green) and Girona (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.