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Ligue 2 · Algeria
Teleghma vs USM Annaba prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Teleghma host USM Annaba in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — USM Annaba to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Teleghma 2–1 USM Annaba.
Going into the match, Teleghma had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 17. USM Annaba had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 8 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Teleghma's last 9 and 1 of USM Annaba's last 9; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Teleghma averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home USM Annaba averaged 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Teleghma and 1.35 from USM Annaba. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 32%, 32% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Teleghma (green) and USM Annaba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teleghma | DLLDL | 1.00 | 1.89 | 78% | 56% |
| USM Annaba | WWLWL | 0.89 | 0.67 | 11% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.51 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.64 |
| USM Annaba Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.