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J2 League · Japan
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Omiya Ardija in the J2 League (Japan) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Omiya Ardija.
Going into the match, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Omiya Ardija had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 10 and 6 of Omiya Ardija's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tegevajaro Miyazaki averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Omiya Ardija averaged 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.24 from Omiya Ardija. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tegevajaro Miyazaki (green) and Omiya Ardija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | WWWLL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
| Omiya Ardija | WDDDL | 1.90 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.