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Esiliiga B · Estonia

Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19 prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.55Market probability 59%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tartu Kalev host Levadia U19 in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tartu Kalev to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tartu Kalev 0–2 Levadia U19.

Going into the match, Tartu Kalev had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 23. Levadia U19 had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Tartu Kalev's last 10 and 4 of Levadia U19's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tartu Kalev averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Levadia U19 averaged 2.92 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Tartu Kalev and 2.04 from Levadia U19. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 41%, against 38%, 21% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Tartu Kalev (green) and Levadia U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack35% – 65%
Defence42% – 58%
Head-to-head67% – 33%
Goals73% – 27%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Tartu KalevLWWLL1.502.3050%70%
Levadia U19WWLLW2.701.1040%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X263%1.50
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals57%1.67
Tartu Kalev Win37%2.38
Levadia U19 HT & FT27%3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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