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Esiliiga B · Estonia
Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tartu Kalev host Levadia U19 in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tartu Kalev to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tartu Kalev 0–2 Levadia U19.
Going into the match, Tartu Kalev had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 23. Levadia U19 had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tartu Kalev's last 10 and 4 of Levadia U19's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tartu Kalev averaged 2.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Levadia U19 averaged 2.92 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Tartu Kalev and 2.04 from Levadia U19. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 41%, against 38%, 21% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tartu Kalev (green) and Levadia U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Kalev | LWWLL | 1.50 | 2.30 | 50% | 70% |
| Levadia U19 | WWLLW | 2.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jul 2026 · Levadia U19 0–5 Tartu Kalev
- 29 May 2026 · Tartu Kalev 2–0 Levadia U19
- 28 Apr 2026 · Levadia U19 3–1 Tartu Kalev
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Tartu Kalev Win | 37% | 2.38 |
| Levadia U19 HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.