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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain
Tarancón vs Socuéllamos prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tarancón host Socuéllamos in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tarancón to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tarancón 1–0 Socuéllamos.
Going into the match, Tarancón had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Socuéllamos had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Tarancón's last 10 and 5 of Socuéllamos's last 9; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tarancón averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Socuéllamos averaged 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Tarancón and 0.58 from Socuéllamos. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 12%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarancón | DWWLL | 1.90 | 0.80 | 30% | 60% |
| Socuéllamos | DLDDD | 1.00 | 1.22 | 56% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Tarancón Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.