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Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · Spain

Tarancón vs Socuéllamos prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.28Market probability 71%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Tarancón host Socuéllamos in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tarancón to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Tarancón 1–0 Socuéllamos.

Going into the match, Tarancón had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Socuéllamos had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Tarancón's last 10 and 5 of Socuéllamos's last 9; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tarancón averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Socuéllamos averaged 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Tarancón and 0.58 from Socuéllamos. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 12%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
TarancónDWWLL1.900.8030%60%
SocuéllamosDLDDD1.001.2256%33%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X71%1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.31
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals65%1.40
Under 2.5 Goals55%1.70
BTTS Yes51%1.81
Over 2.5 Goals45%2.10
Tarancón Win42%2.10
Draw29%3.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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