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National League · England
Tamworth vs Barrow prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tamworth host Barrow in the National League (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tamworth 1–2 Barrow.
Going into the match, Tamworth had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 20. Barrow had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tamworth's last 10 and 6 of Barrow's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tamworth averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Barrow averaged 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Tamworth and 1.93 from Barrow. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 55%, against 35%, 25% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tamworth (green) and Barrow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.