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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Tammeka vs Nõmme United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tammeka host Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tammeka 4–0 Nõmme United.
Going into the match, Tammeka had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Nõmme United had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Tammeka's last 10 and 6 of Nõmme United's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tammeka averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Nõmme United averaged 1.46 scored and 2.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Tammeka and 1.21 from Nõmme United. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 18%, against 46%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tammeka (green) and Nõmme United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tammeka | WLLWL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Nõmme United | LLWLW | 1.20 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Aug 2026 · Nõmme United 0–1 Tammeka
- 15 May 2026 · Tammeka 3–1 Nõmme United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.