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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tallinna Kalev host Viimsi in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Viimsi Win — Viimsi to win. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 Viimsi.
Going into the match, Tallinna Kalev had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Viimsi had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tallinna Kalev's last 10 and 6 of Viimsi's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tallinna Kalev averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Viimsi averaged 1.71 scored and 1.35 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Tallinna Kalev and 1.84 from Viimsi. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 48%, against 27%, 23% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tallinna Kalev (green) and Viimsi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | LDLDL | 2.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Viimsi | LLLWL | 2.40 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Aug 2026 · Viimsi 1–2 Tallinna Kalev
- 27 May 2026 · Tallinna Kalev 0–3 Viimsi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.35 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 67% | 1.41 |
| Viimsi Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Viimsi HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| 1-2 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.