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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Tallinna Kalev vs FCI Levadia II prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tallinna Kalev host FCI Levadia II in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — FCI Levadia II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tallinna Kalev 1–2 FCI Levadia II.
Going into the match, Tallinna Kalev had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. FCI Levadia II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tallinna Kalev's last 10 and 6 of FCI Levadia II's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tallinna Kalev averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FCI Levadia II averaged 2.00 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Tallinna Kalev and 1.96 from FCI Levadia II. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 44%, 22% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tallinna Kalev (green) and FCI Levadia II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | LLDLD | 2.00 | 1.80 | 60% | 80% |
| FCI Levadia II | WWWDW | 2.10 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · FCI Levadia II 3–2 Tallinna Kalev
- 31 May 2026 · Tallinna Kalev 1–2 FCI Levadia II
- 23 Apr 2026 · FCI Levadia II 3–2 Tallinna Kalev
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance 1X | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 62% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| FCI Levadia II Win | 34% | 2.60 |
| Tallinna Kalev HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| 1-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Esiliiga A matches that day
- FC Tallinn vs Viimsi · 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Esiliiga A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.41 · FT 0–3 - Maardu vs Flora II · 19 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Esiliiga A
Published pick: Double Chance 1X