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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Tacuary vs Paraguari AC prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tacuary host Paraguari AC in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Tacuary to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tacuary 2–4 Paraguari AC.
Going into the match, Tacuary had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Paraguari AC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tacuary's last 10 and 7 of Paraguari AC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tacuary averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Paraguari AC averaged 1.23 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Tacuary and 1.72 from Paraguari AC. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 45%, against 31%, 27% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tacuary (green) and Paraguari AC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tacuary | LWDLD | 0.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Paraguari AC | WLWWW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 Jul 2026 · Paraguari AC 0–1 Tacuary
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
| 1-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.