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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Tacuary vs Independiente F.b.c. prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tacuary host Independiente F.b.c. in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 20 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tacuary 3–2 Independiente F.b.c..
Going into the match, Tacuary had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Independiente F.b.c. had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Tacuary's last 10 and 4 of Independiente F.b.c.'s last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tacuary averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Independiente F.b.c. averaged 2.00 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Tacuary and 1.84 from Independiente F.b.c.. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 48%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tacuary (green) and Independiente F.b.c. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tacuary | LLWDL | 0.90 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Independiente F.b.c. | WWDLW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jul 2026 · Independiente F.b.c. 2–2 Tacuary
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Independiente F.b.c. Win | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division Intermedia matches that day
- Paraguari AC vs Fernando De La Mora · 20 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Division Intermedia
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 · FT 2–0