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Segunda División · Uruguay
Tacuarembo vs Atenas prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tacuarembo host Atenas in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 3 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Atenas to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tacuarembo 0–1 Atenas.
Going into the match, Tacuarembo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Atenas had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Tacuarembo's last 10 and 5 of Atenas's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tacuarembo averaged 0.64 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Atenas averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Tacuarembo and 1.26 from Atenas. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 44%, against 29%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tacuarembo (green) and Atenas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tacuarembo | DDDLL | 0.80 | 1.20 | 40% | 20% |
| Atenas | DDWDW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Atenas 2–0 Tacuarembo
- 18 Apr 2026 · Atenas 1–0 Tacuarembo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Atenas Win | 41% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.00 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.